AA vs QT: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA (Pocket Aces) | 83.3% | 0.4% | 83.5% |
| QT (Queen-Ten) | 16.3% | 0.4% | 16.5% |
Suited vs offsuit: QT
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| QTs | 19.3% | 0.4% | 19.5% |
| QTo | 15.3% | 0.4% | 15.5% |
How AA vs QT unfolds by street
Pocket Aces (AA) is still ahead on 95% of flops against QT, and the lead survives to the turn on 90%. QT takes the lead on the other 5% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AA still ahead | QT flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 95% | 5% |
| Turn | 90% | 10% |
AA vs QT is about as good as a non-cooler gets for the pair: both of QT's cards are undercards, so no single card flips the lead. AA wins 83.3%, QT wins 16.3%, and 0.4% of boards chop. The underdog has to pair twice, make a straight or flush, or otherwise back in — which is why pairs stack undercards so reliably at a 5.1-to-1 clip.
Translate that into a decision and it's simple pot-odds math: counting split pots as half, AA carries 83.5% equity and QT 16.5%. Against a pot-sized shove you need about 33% to call and about 25% versus a half-pot bet — so QT needs real fold equity, not just its raw share, to justify stacking off.
How you play AA vs QT depends on which side you hold. With AA you're not crushing, so keep the pot controllable and take the 83.3% edge to showdown when you can; with QT, your equity is enough to continue with initiative but thin enough that bloating the pot out of position is a trap.
AA vs QT FAQ
Who wins AA vs QT preflop?
AA (Pocket Aces) is the favorite, winning 83.3% of all runouts, while QT (Queen-Ten) wins 16.3%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AA's preflop equity is 83.5%.
How often does QT beat AA?
QT wins 16.3% of the time all-in preflop against AA — roughly 1 in 6 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.
Is AA vs QT a good spot to get all-in?
For AA, yes — a 83.5% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For QT at 16.5%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does AA hold up against QT after the flop?
AA is still ahead on 95% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 90% of boards; QT takes the lead on the other 5% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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