AA vs QJ: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA (Pocket Aces) | 83.7% | 0.4% | 83.9% |
| QJ (Queen-Jack) | 15.9% | 0.4% | 16.1% |
Suited vs offsuit: QJ
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| QJs | 18.9% | 0.4% | 19.1% |
| QJo | 14.9% | 0.4% | 15.1% |
How AA vs QJ unfolds by street
Pocket Aces (AA) is still ahead on 95% of flops against QJ, and the lead survives to the turn on 90%. QJ takes the lead on the other 5% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AA still ahead | QJ flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 95% | 5% |
| Turn | 90% | 10% |
AA vs QJ is about as good as a non-cooler gets for the pair: both of QJ's cards are undercards, so no single card flips the lead. AA wins 83.7%, QJ wins 15.9%, and 0.4% of boards chop. The underdog has to pair twice, make a straight or flush, or otherwise back in — which is why pairs stack undercards so reliably at a 5.3-to-1 clip.
Here's the intuition behind 83.9% to 16.1%: AA wins roughly 5 of every 6 times the chips go in, but the underdog cashing 16.1% of the time is exactly why you can't slow-play and let it draw for free.
How you play AA vs QJ depends on which side you hold. With AA you're not crushing, so keep the pot controllable and take the 83.7% edge to showdown when you can; with QJ, your equity is enough to continue with initiative but thin enough that bloating the pot out of position is a trap.
AA vs QJ FAQ
Who wins AA vs QJ preflop?
AA (Pocket Aces) is the favorite, winning 83.7% of all runouts, while QJ (Queen-Jack) wins 15.9%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AA's preflop equity is 83.9%.
How often does QJ beat AA?
QJ wins 15.9% of the time all-in preflop against AA — roughly 1 in 6 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.
Is AA vs QJ a good spot to get all-in?
For AA, yes — a 83.9% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For QJ at 16.1%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does AA hold up against QJ after the flop?
AA is still ahead on 95% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 90% of boards; QJ takes the lead on the other 5% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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