AA vs a nit's range: Equity & Strategy

Pocket Aces (AA) has 84.3% equity all-in preflop against a nit's range — 104 combos, 7.8% of all starting hands. It wins 83.3% of runouts outright, loses 14.7% and chops 2.0%. These are exact figures from full board enumeration against every unblocked combo in the range, not a simulation.

SideWinChopEquity
AA83.3%2.0%84.3%
a nit's range14.7%2.0%15.7%

The range this is computed against

The rock at the table: 77+, ATs+, KQs and AJo+, a shade under 8% of hands. A nit almost never has a marginal holding — when they put money in voluntarily, the range is close to this and their bluff frequency is close to zero.

nit — 104 combos, 7.8% of all starting hands: AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, 99, 88, 77, AKs, AQs, AJs, ATs, KQs, AKo, AQo, AJo

After card removal, 73 of those 104 combos are still available (31 are blocked by the cards AA holds). AA is ahead of 72 and behind 1.

Hardest parts of the range for AA

HandCombosAA equity
AA150.0%
88680.5%
77680.5%
TT680.7%
99680.9%

Easiest parts of the range for AA

HandCombosAA equity
AKo693.2%
AQo692.7%
AJo692.3%
AKs287.9%
AQs287.5%

Against a nit's range (104 combos, 7.8% of all hands), AA runs at 84.3%. It wins 83.3% of runouts outright, loses 14.7% and splits the remaining 2.0%. Your own two cards remove 31 of those combos before the flop is even dealt — a blocker effect this number already accounts for, because every combo containing one of your exact cards is stripped out of the range first. You are ahead of 72 of the 73 combos you can still be facing (99%), which is what a 84.3% number actually looks like hand by hand.

Where does the range come from? The rock at the table: 77+, ATs+, KQs and AJo+, a shade under 8% of hands. A nit almost never has a marginal holding — when they put money in voluntarily, the range is close to this and their bluff frequency is close to zero. Broken down hand by hand, AA does worst against AA (50.0%), 88 (80.5%) and 77 (80.5%) and best against AKo (93.2%), AQo (92.7%) and AJo (92.3%). Across the whole range AA's equity swings from 50.0% at the bottom to 93.2% at the top — the single 84.3% headline is the combo-weighted average of all of it.

Against a nit, the range is the whole story: 7.8% of hands, no bluffs, and AA at 84.3%. Being ahead of even a nit's range is rare — this is a hand you happily play a big pot with.

AA vs nit FAQ

What is AA's equity against a nit's range?

AA has 84.3% equity all-in preflop against a nit's range — it wins 83.3% of runouts outright, loses 14.7% and chops 2.0%. The range holds 104 combos (7.8% of all hands); AA blocks 31 of them, leaving 73 live. This is exact full board enumeration, not a simulation.

Which hands in a nit's range beat AA?

AA is behind 1 of the 73 live combos and ahead of the other 72. The worst matchups are AA (50.0%), 88 (80.5%) and 77 (80.5%); its best are AKo (93.2%), AQo (92.7%) and AJo (92.3%). Every figure is exact, computed against that hand's unblocked combos only.

What hands are in a nit's range?

16 hand classes and 104 combos — 7.8% of the 1,326 possible starting hands. By combo count it is 46% pocket pairs (8 pairs, 48 combos), 19% suited hands (5 classes, 20 combos) and 35% offsuit hands (3 classes, 36 combos). That shape is why AA runs at 84.3% against it rather than against a random hand.

Does AA do better against a wider or a tighter range?

Wider, almost always. AA has 84.3% equity against a loose-passive calling range (50.5% of hands) but 84.5% against a 4-betting range (3.2%). Equity against a range is mostly a question of how many weak hands the range still contains — which is why the same holding can be a monster against a button open and a fold against a 4-bet.

Run any hand vs range in the free equity calculator · All hand-vs-range matchups · aa vs utg-open · aa vs mp-open · aa vs co-open · kk vs nit · qq vs nit · jj vs nit