AA vs a UTG opening range: Equity & Strategy
Pocket Aces (AA) has 82.9% equity all-in preflop against a UTG opening range — 202 combos, 15.2% of all starting hands. It wins 82.3% of runouts outright, loses 16.5% and chops 1.2%. These are exact figures from full board enumeration against every unblocked combo in the range, not a simulation.
| Side | Win | Chop | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA | 82.3% | 1.2% | 82.9% |
| a UTG opening range | 16.5% | 1.2% | 17.1% |
The range this is computed against
Under the gun a competent 6-max regular opens roughly the top 15% of hands: every pocket pair, the suited aces (nut-flush and wheel blockers), suited broadways down to J9s, the strongest suited connectors, and only AJo+ / KQo offsuit — offsuit hands realise their equity badly from the worst seat at the table.
UTG open — 202 combos, 15.2% of all starting hands: AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, 99, 88, 77, 66, 55, 44, 33, 22, AKs, AQs, AJs, ATs, A9s, A5s, A4s, A3s, KQs, KJs, KTs, QJs, QTs, JTs, J9s, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, AKo, AQo, AJo, KQo
After card removal, 163 of those 202 combos are still available (39 are blocked by the cards AA holds). AA is ahead of 162 and behind 1.
Hardest parts of the range for AA
| Hand | Combos | AA equity |
|---|---|---|
| AA | 1 | 50.0% |
| 87s | 4 | 77.5% |
| 76s | 4 | 77.5% |
| T9s | 4 | 77.8% |
| 98s | 4 | 77.9% |
Easiest parts of the range for AA
| Hand | Combos | AA equity |
|---|---|---|
| AKo | 6 | 93.2% |
| AQo | 6 | 92.7% |
| AJo | 6 | 92.3% |
| A9s | 2 | 88.4% |
| AKs | 2 | 87.9% |
Against a UTG opening range (202 combos, 15.2% of all hands), AA runs at 82.9%. It wins 82.3% of runouts outright, loses 16.5% and splits the remaining 1.2%. Your own two cards remove 39 of those combos before the flop is even dealt — a blocker effect this number already accounts for, because every combo containing one of your exact cards is stripped out of the range first. You are ahead of 162 of the 163 combos you can still be facing (99%), which is what a 82.9% number actually looks like hand by hand.
Under the gun a competent 6-max regular opens roughly the top 15% of hands: every pocket pair, the suited aces (nut-flush and wheel blockers), suited broadways down to J9s, the strongest suited connectors, and only AJo+ / KQo offsuit — offsuit hands realise their equity badly from the worst seat at the table. Inside that range, the combos that hurt AA most are AA (50.0%), 87s (77.5%) and 76s (77.5%); the ones you want to see are AKo (93.2%), AQo (92.7%) and AJo (92.3%). Across the whole range AA's equity swings from 50.0% at the bottom to 93.2% at the top — the single 82.9% headline is the combo-weighted average of all of it.
Facing a UTG opening range, 82.9% is a raise-or-fold number, not a call-and-see number: AA is far ahead of the range as a whole, so building the pot before the flop is worth more than disguising the hand. Against 15.2% of hands, you are priced in against a pot-sized bet (which needs about 33%).
AA vs UTG open FAQ
What is AA's equity against a UTG opening range?
AA has 82.9% equity all-in preflop against a UTG opening range — it wins 82.3% of runouts outright, loses 16.5% and chops 1.2%. The range holds 202 combos (15.2% of all hands); AA blocks 39 of them, leaving 163 live. This is exact full board enumeration, not a simulation.
Which hands in a UTG opening range beat AA?
AA is behind 1 of the 163 live combos and ahead of the other 162. The worst matchups are AA (50.0%), 87s (77.5%) and 76s (77.5%); its best are AKo (93.2%), AQo (92.7%) and AJo (92.3%). Every figure is exact, computed against that hand's unblocked combos only.
What hands are in a UTG opening range?
36 hand classes and 202 combos — 15.2% of the 1,326 possible starting hands. By combo count it is 39% pocket pairs (13 pairs, 78 combos), 38% suited hands (19 classes, 76 combos) and 24% offsuit hands (4 classes, 48 combos). That shape is why AA runs at 82.9% against it rather than against a random hand.
Does AA do better against a wider or a tighter range?
Wider, almost always. AA has 84.3% equity against a loose-passive calling range (50.5% of hands) but 84.5% against a 4-betting range (3.2%). Equity against a range is mostly a question of how many weak hands the range still contains — which is why the same holding can be a monster against a button open and a fold against a 4-bet.
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