AA vs JT: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA (Pocket Aces) | 81.6% | 0.4% | 81.8% |
| JT (Jack-Ten) | 18.1% | 0.4% | 18.2% |
Suited vs offsuit: JT
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 21.0% | 0.4% | 21.2% |
| JTo | 17.1% | 0.4% | 17.3% |
How AA vs JT unfolds by street
Pocket Aces (AA) is still ahead on 95% of flops against JT, and the lead survives to the turn on 89%. JT takes the lead on the other 5% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AA still ahead | JT flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 95% | 5% |
| Turn | 89% | 11% |
AA vs JT is about as good as a non-cooler gets for the pair: both of JT's cards are undercards, so no single card flips the lead. AA wins 81.6%, JT wins 18.1%, and 0.4% of boards chop. The underdog has to pair twice, make a straight or flush, or otherwise back in — which is why pairs stack undercards so reliably at a 4.5-to-1 clip.
Think in variance terms: 81.8% equity means AA loses this all-in nearly 18 times in 100, so even a "dominant" spot is a coin you'll see come up tails plenty. Getting it in as the 81.8% favorite is correct every time; the 18.2% that goes the other way is math, not a misplay.
In practice, AA vs JT rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: AA wants to realize its 81.6% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while JT should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 6.
AA vs JT FAQ
Who wins AA vs JT preflop?
AA (Pocket Aces) is the favorite, winning 81.6% of all runouts, while JT (Jack-Ten) wins 18.1%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AA's preflop equity is 81.8%.
How often does JT beat AA?
JT wins 18.1% of the time all-in preflop against AA — roughly 1 in 6 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.
Is AA vs JT a good spot to get all-in?
For AA, yes — a 81.8% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For JT at 18.2%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does AA hold up against JT after the flop?
AA is still ahead on 95% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 89% of boards; JT takes the lead on the other 5% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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