AA vs AQ: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA (Pocket Aces) | 90.8% | 1.3% | 91.4% |
| AQ (Ace-Queen) | 7.9% | 1.3% | 8.6% |
Suited vs offsuit: AQ
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 11.9% | 1.2% | 12.5% |
| AQo | 6.6% | 1.3% | 7.3% |
How AA vs AQ unfolds by street
Pocket Aces (AA) is still ahead on 99% of flops against AQ, and the lead survives to the turn on 96%. AQ takes the lead on the other 1% of flops, almost always by flopping a set. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AA still ahead | AQ flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 99% | 1% |
| Turn | 96% | 4% |
AA vs AQ is a card-removal spot: the pair holds one of the cards the unpaired hand most wants. AA wins 90.8%, AQ wins 7.9%, and 1.3% of boards chop. Blocking an out (and vice versa) pushes the favorite past a clean race — it's one of the most common all-in confrontations you'll actually face.
Think in variance terms: 91.4% equity means AA loses this all-in nearly 9 times in 100, so even a "dominant" spot is a coin you'll see come up tails plenty. Getting it in as the 91.4% favorite is correct every time; the 8.6% that goes the other way is math, not a misplay.
In practice, AA vs AQ rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: AA wants to realize its 90.8% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while AQ should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 13.
AA vs AQ FAQ
Who wins AA vs AQ preflop?
AA (Pocket Aces) is the favorite, winning 90.8% of all runouts, while AQ (Ace-Queen) wins 7.9%. The remaining 1.3% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AA's preflop equity is 91.4%.
How often does AQ beat AA?
AQ wins 7.9% of the time all-in preflop against AA — roughly 1 in 13 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.
Is AA vs AQ a good spot to get all-in?
For AA, yes — a 91.4% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For AQ at 8.6%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does AA hold up against AQ after the flop?
AA is still ahead on 99% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 96% of boards; AQ takes the lead on the other 1% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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