AA vs 22: Odds & Interactive Calculator

How AA vs 22 unfolds by street

Pocket Aces (AA) is still ahead on 89% of flops against 22, and the lead survives to the turn on 86%. 22 takes the lead on the other 11% of flops, almost always by flopping a set. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.

AA vs 22 is two made hands colliding before the flop, and the higher pair owns it: AA wins 81.9%, 22 wins 17.5%, and 0.5% of boards chop — 4.7-to-1. With nothing but the case pair to chase, 22 is set-mining all-in: it wins about 1 in 6, correct to stack off preflop but a hand that hates a clean runout.

At a final table the raw 82.2% / 17.8% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 17.8% underdog, 22 pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.

As the bigger pair, AA, your whole job is to get the money in before a scare card — there's no fold here and slow-playing only lets 22 realize its set equity for free. As the smaller pair, the discipline is recognizing when stacks are deep enough that calling off 17.5% equity is a leak, even though folding pre feels impossible.

Where to take AA vs 22 next

Getting it in near the money bubble or at a final table? Chip equity isn't prize equity — check the spot in the ICM calculator before you call off your stack.

Played a hand like this yourself? Import it into the poker hand analyzer for a street-by-street review of every decision, not just the all-in.

For the bigger picture, the poker tournament strategy guide covers when to shove and when to fold as stacks shrink, and what GTO poker is explains why strong players think in ranges rather than single hands.

New to the game? The poker hand rankings chart shows which hand wins at showdown, how to play poker: a beginner's guide walks through the rules and betting rounds, and the poker strategy guide shows where preflop equity fits into a winning game plan.

AA vs 22 FAQ

Who wins AA vs 22 preflop?

AA (Pocket Aces) is the favorite, winning 81.9% of all runouts, while 22 (Pocket Deuces) wins 17.5%. The remaining 0.5% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AA's preflop equity is 82.2%.

Does the AA vs 22 probability change all-in preflop?

No. Once both hands are all-in preflop the odds are set by the cards alone — position, stack size and who bet first change nothing. The only thing that moves the number is suits: AA's equity runs from 81.5% to 82.9% depending on how many suits the two hands share, which is why different sites quote slightly different figures. It does change once board cards are dealt (AA leads on 89% of flops) and in multiway pots, where every extra caller takes equity from both hands.

Can you fold the smaller pair in AA vs 22?

Almost never preflop all-in — but the 17.5% the smaller pair wins (about 1 in 6) means that when stacks are very deep and the action screams a bigger pair, laying it down is a real, if rare, fold. Set-mining the lower pair works only with the implied odds to win a full stack when you spike.

Does AA hold up against 22 after the flop?

AA is still ahead on 89% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 86% of boards; 22 takes the lead on the other 11% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.

Run any matchup in the free equity calculator · AA VS TT · AA VS 99 · AA VS 88 · AA VS 77 · AA VS 66 · AA VS 55

AA against a range

All-in against one known hand is the textbook case; at the table AA is usually up against a range. Exact equities, computed over every combo with card removal applied:

• AA vs calling station — 84.3% against 670 combos (50.5% of hands)
• AA vs BTN open — 84.1% against 586 combos (44.2% of hands)
• AA vs SB open — 84.4% against 534 combos (40.3% of hands)
• AA vs CO open — 83.6% against 366 combos (27.6% of hands)

All 200+ hand-vs-range matchups →