AA vs 99: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA (Pocket Aces) | 80.6% | 0.4% | 80.8% |
| 99 (Pocket Nines) | 19.0% | 0.4% | 19.2% |
When Pocket Aces (AA) runs into Pocket Nines (99) before the flop, the bigger pair is a heavy favorite: AA wins 80.6% of the time, 99 wins 19.0%, and 0.4% of runouts end in a chopped pot. That makes AA roughly a 4.2-to-1 favorite. The smaller pair is drawing almost exclusively to one of the two remaining Nines in the deck — about a 1-in-5 shot by the river — plus rare straight or flush escapes.
In equity terms — your long-run share of the pot counting split pots as half — AA holds 80.8% and 99 holds 19.2%. To make these numbers practical: facing a pot-sized all-in you need about 33% equity to call profitably, and a half-pot bet needs about 25%. Numbers on this page are exact, computed by full board enumeration (not simulation). Try any other hand or full ranges in the free equity calculator.
AA vs 99 FAQ
Who wins AA vs 99 preflop?
AA (Pocket Aces) is the favorite: it wins 80.6% of all runouts, while 99 (Pocket Nines) wins 19.0%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AA's preflop equity is 80.8%.
How often does 99 beat AA?
99 wins 19.0% of the time all-in preflop against AA — roughly 1 in 5 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.
Are these AA vs 99 numbers exact?
Yes. They are computed by exhaustively enumerating every possible five-card board (1,712,304 boards per card combination) and averaging across all suit combinations of both hands — not by Monte Carlo simulation. Display values are rounded to one decimal place.
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