AK vs T9s: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AK (Ace-King) | 59.9% | 0.5% | 60.1% |
| T9s (Ten-Nine Suited) | 39.7% | 0.5% | 39.9% |
Suited vs offsuit: AK
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 61.8% | 0.5% | 62.0% |
| AKo | 59.3% | 0.4% | 59.5% |
How AK vs T9s unfolds by street
Ace-King (AK) is still ahead on 70% of flops against T9s, and the lead survives to the turn on 67%. T9s takes the lead on the other 30% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AK still ahead | T9s flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 70% | 30% |
| Turn | 67% | 33% |
AK vs T9s is a four-live-card fight — no pair, no shared rank, just rank order and geometry. AK wins 59.9%, T9s wins 39.7%, and 0.5% of boards chop. Whoever pairs first usually scoops, so the edge comes from AK making the higher pair plus whatever straight and flush equity runs between the two hands.
At a final table the raw 60.1% / 39.9% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 39.9% underdog, T9s pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.
In practice, AK vs T9s rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: AK wants to realize its 59.9% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while T9s should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 3.
AK vs T9s FAQ
Who wins AK vs T9s preflop?
AK (Ace-King) is the favorite, winning 59.9% of all runouts, while T9s (Ten-Nine Suited) wins 39.7%. The remaining 0.5% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AK's preflop equity is 60.1%.
How often does T9s beat AK?
T9s wins 39.7% of the time all-in preflop against AK — a genuine underdog, but with enough live outs (about 1 in 3) that the matchup is closer than the favorite would like.
Is AK vs T9s a good spot to get all-in?
For AK, yes — a 60.1% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For T9s at 39.9%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does AK hold up against T9s after the flop?
AK is still ahead on 70% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 67% of boards; T9s takes the lead on the other 30% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
Run any matchup in the free equity calculator · AK VS QJ · AK VS QT · AQ VS KJ · AQ VS KT · AQ VS JT · AJ VS KQ