99 vs QT: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 (Pocket Nines) | 53.8% | 0.4% | 54.0% |
| QT (Queen-Ten) | 45.8% | 0.4% | 46.0% |
Suited vs offsuit: QT
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| QTs | 47.8% | 0.4% | 48.0% |
| QTo | 45.2% | 0.4% | 45.4% |
How 99 vs QT unfolds by street
Pocket Nines (99) is still ahead on 66% of flops against QT, and the lead survives to the turn on 60%. QT takes the lead on the other 34% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | 99 still ahead | QT flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 66% | 34% |
| Turn | 60% | 40% |
99 vs QT is a race in the truest sense: made hand now (99) versus the bigger drawing hand (QT). 99 wins 53.8%, QT wins 45.8%, and 0.4% of boards chop. The pair is ahead on a blank board but every Queen or Ten flips it, and the occasional straight adds a sliver more — which is why it plays out a hair off 50/50.
Translate that into a decision and it's simple pot-odds math: counting split pots as half, 99 carries 54.0% equity and QT 46.0%. Against a pot-sized shove you need about 33% to call and about 25% versus a half-pot bet — so QT is comfortably priced in to get it all-in here.
How you play 99 vs QT depends on which side you hold. With 99 you're not crushing, so keep the pot controllable and take the 53.8% edge to showdown when you can; with QT, your equity is enough to continue with initiative but thin enough that bloating the pot out of position is a trap.
99 vs QT FAQ
Who wins 99 vs QT preflop?
99 (Pocket Nines) is the favorite, winning 53.8% of all runouts, while QT (Queen-Ten) wins 45.8%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, 99's preflop equity is 54.0%.
How often does QT beat 99?
QT wins 45.8% of the time all-in preflop against 99 — essentially a coin flip, so it is close to even money.
Is 99 vs QT a good spot to get all-in?
For 99, yes — a 54.0% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For QT at 46.0%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does 99 hold up against QT after the flop?
99 is still ahead on 66% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 60% of boards; QT takes the lead on the other 34% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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