44 vs AT: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 (Pocket Fours) | 52.1% | 0.5% | 52.3% |
| AT (Ace-Ten) | 47.4% | 0.5% | 47.7% |
Suited vs offsuit: AT
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATs | 49.3% | 0.5% | 49.6% |
| ATo | 46.8% | 0.5% | 47.0% |
How 44 vs AT unfolds by street
Pocket Fours (44) is still ahead on 64% of flops against AT, and the lead survives to the turn on 60%. AT takes the lead on the other 36% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | 44 still ahead | AT flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 64% | 36% |
| Turn | 60% | 40% |
44 vs AT is the classic preflop race — a pocket pair against two overcards (two unconnected overcards). The pair noses ahead: 44 wins 52.1%, AT wins 47.4%, and 0.5% of boards chop. The unpaired hand has six outs twice over (any Ace or Ten), and with a little extra straight equity the whole thing sits within a few points of a coin flip.
Here's the intuition behind 52.3% to 47.7%: 44 wins roughly 1 of every 2 times the chips go in, but the underdog cashing 47.7% of the time is exactly why you can't slow-play and let it draw for free.
How you play 44 vs AT depends on which side you hold. With 44 you're not crushing, so keep the pot controllable and take the 52.1% edge to showdown when you can; with AT, your equity is enough to continue with initiative but thin enough that bloating the pot out of position is a trap.
44 vs AT FAQ
Who wins 44 vs AT preflop?
44 (Pocket Fours) is the favorite, winning 52.1% of all runouts, while AT (Ace-Ten) wins 47.4%. The remaining 0.5% are split pots. Counting splits as half, 44's preflop equity is 52.3%.
How often does AT beat 44?
AT wins 47.4% of the time all-in preflop against 44 — essentially a coin flip, so it is close to even money.
Is 44 vs AT a good spot to get all-in?
For 44, yes — a 52.3% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For AT at 47.7%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does 44 hold up against AT after the flop?
44 is still ahead on 64% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 60% of boards; AT takes the lead on the other 36% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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