44 vs 22: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 (Pocket Fours) | 79.2% | 3.8% | 81.1% |
| 22 (Pocket Deuces) | 17.1% | 3.8% | 18.9% |
How 44 vs 22 unfolds by street
Pocket Fours (44) is still ahead on 89% of flops against 22, and the lead survives to the turn on 86%. 22 takes the lead on the other 11% of flops, almost always by flopping a set. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | 44 still ahead | 22 flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 89% | 11% |
| Turn | 86% | 14% |
44 vs 22 is a pair-over-pair cooler — the kind of all-in nobody at the table can fold. 44 wins 79.2%, 22 wins 17.1%, and 3.8% of boards chop, a 4.6-to-1 edge for 44. The lower pair, 22, is drawing to the two cards left in the deck that make it a set; miss those and only a runner-runner straight or flush saves it, which is why it gets there just 1 time in 6.
Think in variance terms: 81.1% equity means 44 loses this all-in nearly 19 times in 100, so even a "dominant" spot is a coin you'll see come up tails plenty. Getting it in as the 81.1% favorite is correct every time; the 18.9% that goes the other way is math, not a misplay.
As the bigger pair, 44, your whole job is to get the money in before a scare card — there's no fold here and slow-playing only lets 22 realize its set equity for free. As the smaller pair, the discipline is recognizing when stacks are deep enough that calling off 17.1% equity is a leak, even though folding pre feels impossible.
44 vs 22 FAQ
Who wins 44 vs 22 preflop?
44 (Pocket Fours) is the favorite, winning 79.2% of all runouts, while 22 (Pocket Deuces) wins 17.1%. The remaining 3.8% are split pots. Counting splits as half, 44's preflop equity is 81.1%.
How often does 22 beat 44?
22 wins 17.1% of the time all-in preflop against 44 — roughly 1 in 6 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.
Can you fold the smaller pair in 44 vs 22?
Almost never preflop all-in — but the 17.1% the smaller pair wins (about 1 in 6) means that when stacks are very deep and the action screams a bigger pair, laying it down is a real, if rare, fold. Set-mining the lower pair works only with the implied odds to win a full stack when you spike.
Does 44 hold up against 22 after the flop?
44 is still ahead on 89% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 86% of boards; 22 takes the lead on the other 11% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
Run any matchup in the free equity calculator · AA VS TT · AA VS 99 · AA VS 88 · AA VS 77 · AA VS 66 · AA VS 55