22 vs QT: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 (Pocket Deuces) | 48.3% | 1.2% | 48.8% |
| QT (Queen-Ten) | 50.6% | 1.2% | 51.2% |
Suited vs offsuit: QT
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| QTs | 52.3% | 1.2% | 52.9% |
| QTo | 50.0% | 1.2% | 50.6% |
How 22 vs QT unfolds by street
Queen-Ten (QT) is still ahead on 41% of flops against 22, and the lead survives to the turn on 42%. 22 takes the lead on the other 59% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | QT still ahead | 22 flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 41% | 59% |
| Turn | 42% | 58% |
22 vs QT is a race in the truest sense: made hand now (QT) versus the bigger drawing hand (22). QT wins 50.6%, 22 wins 48.3%, and 1.2% of boards chop. The pair is ahead on a blank board but every Queen or Ten flips it, and the occasional straight adds a sliver more — which is why it plays out a hair off 50/50.
Here's the intuition behind 51.2% to 48.8%: it's essentially a flip, so over a session these two hands trade the pot back and forth almost evenly — the money is made by who gets it in with fold equity, not by the tiny edge itself.
Because 22 vs QT is so close, the skill is in avoiding the flip when you don't need it and welcoming it when you do — short-stacked shove/call ranges, bubble pressure, or a juicy pot with antes. Two near-equal hands mean position and initiative postflop matter more than the half-point equity gap.
22 vs QT FAQ
Who wins 22 vs QT preflop?
It is close to a coin flip: QT (Queen-Ten) has the slight edge, winning 50.6% of all runouts to 22's 48.3%. The remaining 1.2% are split pots. Counting splits as half, 22's preflop equity is 48.8%.
How often does 22 beat QT?
22 wins 48.3% of the time all-in preflop against QT — essentially a coin flip, so it is close to even money.
Should you call all-in with 22 against QT?
22 vs QT is close to a coin flip (48.3% vs 50.6%), so calling off is correct whenever the pot is laying you a price near even money or you have a tournament reason to gamble. Deep-stacked with no dead money, it's a thinner spot — the edge is too small to commit a big stack without fold equity.
Does QT hold up against 22 after the flop?
QT is still ahead on 41% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 42% of boards; 22 takes the lead on the other 59% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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