TT vs T9s: Preflop Equity & Odds

HandWinTieEquity
TT (Pocket Tens)81.0%2.7%82.3%
T9s (Ten-Nine Suited)16.3%2.7%17.7%

How TT vs T9s unfolds by street

Pocket Tens (TT) is still ahead on 95% of flops against T9s, and the lead survives to the turn on 91%. T9s takes the lead on the other 5% of flops, almost always by flopping a set. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.

StreetTT still aheadT9s flipped the lead
Flop95%5%
Turn91%9%

TT vs T9s is a card-removal spot: the pair holds one of the cards the unpaired hand most wants. TT wins 81.0%, T9s wins 16.3%, and 2.7% of boards chop. Blocking an out (and vice versa) pushes the favorite past a clean race — it's one of the most common all-in confrontations you'll actually face.

At a final table the raw 82.3% / 17.7% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 17.7% underdog, T9s pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.

In practice, TT vs T9s rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: TT wants to realize its 81.0% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while T9s should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 6.

TT vs T9s FAQ

Who wins TT vs T9s preflop?

TT (Pocket Tens) is the favorite, winning 81.0% of all runouts, while T9s (Ten-Nine Suited) wins 16.3%. The remaining 2.7% are split pots. Counting splits as half, TT's preflop equity is 82.3%.

How often does T9s beat TT?

T9s wins 16.3% of the time all-in preflop against TT — roughly 1 in 6 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.

Is TT vs T9s a good spot to get all-in?

For TT, yes — a 82.3% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For T9s at 17.7%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.

Does TT hold up against T9s after the flop?

TT is still ahead on 95% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 91% of boards; T9s takes the lead on the other 5% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.

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