TT vs 98s: Preflop Equity & Odds

HandWinTieEquity
TT (Pocket Tens)81.5%0.5%81.7%
98s (Nine-Eight Suited)18.1%0.5%18.3%

How TT vs 98s unfolds by street

Pocket Tens (TT) is still ahead on 95% of flops against 98s, and the lead survives to the turn on 89%. 98s takes the lead on the other 5% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.

StreetTT still ahead98s flipped the lead
Flop95%5%
Turn89%11%

TT vs 98s pits a made pair against the best drawing shape in hold'em: TT wins 81.5%, 98s wins 18.1%, and 0.5% of boards chop. Even at a 4.5-to-1 deficit, 98s keeps about 18.1% because suited connectors attack three ways at once — pairing either card, completing a straight, or filling the flush.

Think in variance terms: 81.7% equity means TT loses this all-in nearly 18 times in 100, so even a "dominant" spot is a coin you'll see come up tails plenty. Getting it in as the 81.7% favorite is correct every time; the 18.3% that goes the other way is math, not a misplay.

With the overpair, bet big and bet now — 98s has the draws to make your life miserable on later streets, so charging it the maximum before the flush and straight cards arrive is the entire plan. From the connectors' side, the 18.1% equity is real but realized best in position with the chance to fold out the pair, not by stacking off blind.

TT vs 98s FAQ

Who wins TT vs 98s preflop?

TT (Pocket Tens) is the favorite, winning 81.5% of all runouts, while 98s (Nine-Eight Suited) wins 18.1%. The remaining 0.5% are split pots. Counting splits as half, TT's preflop equity is 81.7%.

How often does 98s beat TT?

98s wins 18.1% of the time all-in preflop against TT — roughly 1 in 6 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.

Are suited connectors good against TT?

Better than almost any other underdog: 98s holds 18.3% equity against TT thanks to its straight and flush potential — roughly 1 win in 6. That equity is realized best with position and fold equity postflop, not by jamming all-in preflop where the overpair is a 4.5-to-1 favorite.

Does TT hold up against 98s after the flop?

TT is still ahead on 95% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 89% of boards; 98s takes the lead on the other 5% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.

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