AA vs T9s: Odds & Interactive Calculator

How AA vs T9s unfolds by street

Pocket Aces (AA) is still ahead on 93% of flops against T9s, and the lead survives to the turn on 87%. T9s takes the lead on the other 7% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.

AA vs T9s pits a made pair against the best drawing shape in hold'em: AA wins 77.6%, T9s wins 22.0%, and 0.4% of boards chop. T9s is the kind of hand that hates folding — its flush and straight draws mean it gets there roughly 22.0% of the time, far more often than a dominated big-card hand could.

Think in variance terms: 77.8% equity means AA loses this all-in nearly 22 times in 100, so even a "dominant" spot is a coin you'll see come up tails plenty. Getting it in as the 77.8% favorite is correct every time; the 22.2% that goes the other way is math, not a misplay.

With the overpair, bet big and bet now — T9s has the draws to make your life miserable on later streets, so charging it the maximum before the flush and straight cards arrive is the entire plan. From the connectors' side, the 22.0% equity is real but realized best in position with the chance to fold out the pair, not by stacking off blind.

Where to take AA vs T9s next

Getting it in near the money bubble or at a final table? Chip equity isn't prize equity — check the spot in the ICM calculator before you call off your stack.

Played a hand like this yourself? Import it into the poker hand analyzer for a street-by-street review of every decision, not just the all-in.

For the bigger picture, the poker tournament strategy guide covers when to shove and when to fold as stacks shrink, and what GTO poker is explains why strong players think in ranges rather than single hands.

New to the game? The poker hand rankings chart shows which hand wins at showdown, how to play poker: a beginner's guide walks through the rules and betting rounds, and the poker strategy guide shows where preflop equity fits into a winning game plan.

AA vs T9s FAQ

Who wins AA vs T9s preflop?

AA (Pocket Aces) is the favorite, winning 77.6% of all runouts, while T9s (Ten-Nine Suited) wins 22.0%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AA's preflop equity is 77.8%.

Does the AA vs T9s probability change all-in preflop?

No. Once both hands are all-in preflop the odds are set by the cards alone — position, stack size and who bet first change nothing. The only thing that moves the number is suits: AA's equity runs from 77.2% to 78.4% depending on how many suits the two hands share, which is why different sites quote slightly different figures. It does change once board cards are dealt (AA leads on 93% of flops) and in multiway pots, where every extra caller takes equity from both hands.

Are suited connectors good against AA?

Better than almost any other underdog: T9s holds 22.2% equity against AA thanks to its straight and flush potential — roughly 1 win in 5. That equity is realized best with position and fold equity postflop, not by jamming all-in preflop where the overpair is a 3.5-to-1 favorite.

Does AA hold up against T9s after the flop?

AA is still ahead on 93% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 87% of boards; T9s takes the lead on the other 7% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.

Run any matchup in the free equity calculator · AA VS 54S · AA VS 87S · AA VS 98S · AA VS JTS · AA VS 75S · AA VS 86S

AA against a range

All-in against one known hand is the textbook case; at the table AA is usually up against a range. Exact equities, computed over every combo with card removal applied:

• AA vs calling station — 84.3% against 670 combos (50.5% of hands)
• AA vs BTN open — 84.1% against 586 combos (44.2% of hands)
• AA vs SB open — 84.4% against 534 combos (40.3% of hands)
• AA vs CO open — 83.6% against 366 combos (27.6% of hands)

All 200+ hand-vs-range matchups →