72o vs AA: Preflop Equity & Odds

HandWinTieEquity
72o (Seven-Deuce Offsuit)11.6%0.4%11.8%
AA (Pocket Aces)88.0%0.4%88.2%

How 72o vs AA unfolds by street

Pocket Aces (AA) is still ahead on 96% of flops against 72o, and the lead survives to the turn on 93%. 72o takes the lead on the other 4% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.

StreetAA still ahead72o flipped the lead
Flop96%4%
Turn93%7%

72o vs AA is about as good as a non-cooler gets for the pair: both of 72o's cards are undercards, so no single card flips the lead. AA wins 88.0%, 72o wins 11.6%, and 0.4% of boards chop. The underdog has to pair twice, make a straight or flush, or otherwise back in — which is why pairs stack undercards so reliably at a 7.6-to-1 clip. You'll hear this matchup argued about constantly — the enumerator settles it for good.

At a final table the raw 88.2% / 11.8% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 11.8% underdog, 72o pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.

In practice, 72o vs AA rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: AA wants to realize its 88.0% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while 72o should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 9.

72o vs AA FAQ

Who wins 72o vs AA preflop?

AA (Pocket Aces) is the favorite, winning 88.0% of all runouts, while 72o (Seven-Deuce Offsuit) wins 11.6%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, 72o's preflop equity is 11.8%.

Does the 72o vs AA probability change all-in preflop?

No. Once both hands are all-in preflop the odds are set by the cards alone — position, stack size and who bet first change nothing. The only thing that moves the number is suits: 72o's equity runs from 11.0% to 12.6% depending on how many suits the two hands share, which is why different sites quote slightly different figures. It does change once board cards are dealt (AA leads on 96% of flops) and in multiway pots, where every extra caller takes equity from both hands.

Is AA vs 72o a good spot to get all-in?

For AA, yes — a 88.2% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For 72o at 11.8%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.

Does AA hold up against 72o after the flop?

AA is still ahead on 96% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 93% of boards; 72o takes the lead on the other 4% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.

Run any matchup in the free equity calculator · AA VS KK · KK VS AA · AA VS AK · AK VS AA · KK VS AK · AK VS KK

See also: hand-vs-range preflop equity — your hand against a real opening, 3-bet, or shove range.