33 vs 22: Odds & Interactive Calculator
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 (Pocket Threes) | 77.9% | 5.0% | 80.4% |
| 22 (Pocket Deuces) | 17.1% | 5.0% | 19.6% |
How 33 vs 22 unfolds by street
Pocket Threes (33) is still ahead on 89% of flops against 22, and the lead survives to the turn on 85%. 22 takes the lead on the other 11% of flops, almost always by flopping a set. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | 33 still ahead | 22 flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 89% | 11% |
| Turn | 85% | 15% |
33 vs 22 is a pair-over-pair cooler — the kind of all-in nobody at the table can fold. 33 wins 77.9%, 22 wins 17.1%, and 5.0% of boards chop, a 4.6-to-1 edge for 33. With nothing but the case pair to chase, 22 is set-mining all-in: it wins about 1 in 6, correct to stack off preflop but a hand that hates a clean runout.
At a final table the raw 80.4% / 19.6% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 19.6% underdog, 22 pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.
As the bigger pair, 33, your whole job is to get the money in before a scare card — there's no fold here and slow-playing only lets 22 realize its set equity for free. As the smaller pair, the discipline is recognizing when stacks are deep enough that calling off 17.1% equity is a leak, even though folding pre feels impossible.
33 vs 22 FAQ
Who wins 33 vs 22 preflop?
33 (Pocket Threes) is the favorite, winning 77.9% of all runouts, while 22 (Pocket Deuces) wins 17.1%. The remaining 5.0% are split pots. Counting splits as half, 33's preflop equity is 80.4%.
Does the 33 vs 22 probability change all-in preflop?
No. Once both hands are all-in preflop the odds are set by the cards alone — position, stack size and who bet first change nothing. The only thing that moves the number is suits: 33's equity runs from 79.8% to 81.1% depending on how many suits the two hands share, which is why different sites quote slightly different figures. It does change once board cards are dealt (33 leads on 89% of flops) and in multiway pots, where every extra caller takes equity from both hands.
Can you fold the smaller pair in 33 vs 22?
Almost never preflop all-in — but the 17.1% the smaller pair wins (about 1 in 6) means that when stacks are very deep and the action screams a bigger pair, laying it down is a real, if rare, fold. Set-mining the lower pair works only with the implied odds to win a full stack when you spike.
Does 33 hold up against 22 after the flop?
33 is still ahead on 89% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 85% of boards; 22 takes the lead on the other 11% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
Run any matchup in the free equity calculator · AA VS TT · AA VS 99 · AA VS 88 · AA VS 77 · AA VS 66 · AA VS 55
See also: hand-vs-range preflop equity — your hand against a real opening, 3-bet, or shove range.