AK vs QQ: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AK (Ace-King) | 43.7% | 0.4% | 43.9% |
| QQ (Pocket Queens) | 55.8% | 0.4% | 56.1% |
Suited vs offsuit: AK
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 45.8% | 0.4% | 46.0% |
| AKo | 43.0% | 0.4% | 43.2% |
How AK vs QQ unfolds by street
Pocket Queens (QQ) is still ahead on 67% of flops against AK, and the lead survives to the turn on 62%. AK takes the lead on the other 33% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | QQ still ahead | AK flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 67% | 33% |
| Turn | 62% | 38% |
When a pair meets two bigger cards you get a flip, and AK vs QQ is exactly that: QQ wins 55.8%, AK wins 43.7%, and 0.4% of boards chop. The overcards lean on six live outs — either Queen or Queen pairs to take the lead — which is why the unpaired side converts about 55.8%, the math behind every "I have to gamble" all-in in a tournament. It's a benchmark spot every serious player should know cold.
At a final table the raw 56.1% / 43.9% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 43.9% underdog, AK pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.
In practice, AK vs QQ rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: QQ wants to realize its 55.8% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while AK should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 2.
AK vs QQ FAQ
Who wins AK vs QQ preflop?
QQ (Pocket Queens) is the favorite, winning 55.8% of all runouts, while AK (Ace-King) wins 43.7%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AK's preflop equity is 43.9%.
How often does AK beat QQ?
AK wins 43.7% of the time all-in preflop against QQ — a genuine underdog, but with enough live outs (about 1 in 2) that the matchup is closer than the favorite would like.
Is QQ vs AK a good spot to get all-in?
For QQ, yes — a 56.1% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For AK at 43.9%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does QQ hold up against AK after the flop?
QQ is still ahead on 67% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 62% of boards; AK takes the lead on the other 33% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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