AK vs JT: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AK (Ace-King) | 62.5% | 0.5% | 62.7% |
| JT (Jack-Ten) | 37.1% | 0.5% | 37.3% |
Suited vs offsuit: AK
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 63.9% | 0.5% | 64.1% |
| AKo | 62.0% | 0.4% | 62.2% |
How AK vs JT unfolds by street
Ace-King (AK) is still ahead on 73% of flops against JT, and the lead survives to the turn on 68%. JT takes the lead on the other 27% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AK still ahead | JT flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 73% | 27% |
| Turn | 68% | 32% |
AK vs JT is a four-live-card fight — no pair, no shared rank, just rank order and geometry. AK wins 62.5%, JT wins 37.1%, and 0.5% of boards chop. Whoever pairs first usually scoops, so the edge comes from AK making the higher pair plus whatever straight and flush equity runs between the two hands. It's one of the most-quoted spots in poker, so the exact figure is worth committing to memory.
At a final table the raw 62.7% / 37.3% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 37.3% underdog, JT pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.
In practice, AK vs JT rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: AK wants to realize its 62.5% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while JT should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 3.
AK vs JT FAQ
Who wins AK vs JT preflop?
AK (Ace-King) is the favorite, winning 62.5% of all runouts, while JT (Jack-Ten) wins 37.1%. The remaining 0.5% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AK's preflop equity is 62.7%.
How often does JT beat AK?
JT wins 37.1% of the time all-in preflop against AK — a genuine underdog, but with enough live outs (about 1 in 3) that the matchup is closer than the favorite would like.
Is AK vs JT a good spot to get all-in?
For AK, yes — a 62.7% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For JT at 37.3%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does AK hold up against JT after the flop?
AK is still ahead on 73% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 68% of boards; JT takes the lead on the other 27% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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