AJ vs QT: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJ (Ace-Jack) | 61.0% | 0.4% | 61.3% |
| QT (Queen-Ten) | 38.5% | 0.4% | 38.7% |
Suited vs offsuit: AJ
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 62.5% | 0.5% | 62.8% |
| AJo | 60.5% | 0.4% | 60.7% |
How AJ vs QT unfolds by street
Ace-Jack (AJ) is still ahead on 72% of flops against QT, and the lead survives to the turn on 66%. QT takes the lead on the other 28% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AJ still ahead | QT flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 72% | 28% |
| Turn | 66% | 34% |
AJ vs QT is a four-live-card fight — no pair, no shared rank, just rank order and geometry. AJ wins 61.0%, QT wins 38.5%, and 0.4% of boards chop. Whoever pairs first usually scoops, so the edge comes from AJ making the higher pair plus whatever straight and flush equity runs between the two hands.
At a final table the raw 61.3% / 38.7% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 38.7% underdog, QT pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.
In practice, AJ vs QT rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: AJ wants to realize its 61.0% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while QT should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 3.
AJ vs QT FAQ
Who wins AJ vs QT preflop?
AJ (Ace-Jack) is the favorite, winning 61.0% of all runouts, while QT (Queen-Ten) wins 38.5%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AJ's preflop equity is 61.3%.
How often does QT beat AJ?
QT wins 38.5% of the time all-in preflop against AJ — a genuine underdog, but with enough live outs (about 1 in 3) that the matchup is closer than the favorite would like.
Is AJ vs QT a good spot to get all-in?
For AJ, yes — a 61.3% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For QT at 38.7%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does AJ hold up against QT after the flop?
AJ is still ahead on 72% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 66% of boards; QT takes the lead on the other 28% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
Run any matchup in the free equity calculator · AK VS QJ · AK VS QT · AQ VS KJ · AQ VS KT · AQ VS JT · AJ VS KQ