AJ vs QT: Odds & Interactive Calculator
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJ (Ace-Jack) | 61.0% | 0.4% | 61.3% |
| QT (Queen-Ten) | 38.5% | 0.4% | 38.7% |
Suited vs offsuit: AJ
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 62.5% | 0.5% | 62.8% |
| AJo | 60.5% | 0.4% | 60.7% |
How AJ vs QT unfolds by street
Ace-Jack (AJ) is still ahead on 72% of flops against QT, and the lead survives to the turn on 66%. QT takes the lead on the other 28% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AJ still ahead | QT flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 72% | 28% |
| Turn | 66% | 34% |
AJ vs QT is a four-live-card fight — no pair, no shared rank, just rank order and geometry. AJ wins 61.0%, QT wins 38.5%, and 0.4% of boards chop. Whoever pairs first usually scoops, so the edge comes from AJ making the higher pair plus whatever straight and flush equity runs between the two hands.
At a final table the raw 61.3% / 38.7% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 38.7% underdog, QT pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.
In practice, AJ vs QT rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: AJ wants to realize its 61.0% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while QT should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 3.
AJ vs QT FAQ
Who wins AJ vs QT preflop?
AJ (Ace-Jack) is the favorite, winning 61.0% of all runouts, while QT (Queen-Ten) wins 38.5%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AJ's preflop equity is 61.3%.
Does the AJ vs QT probability change all-in preflop?
No. Once both hands are all-in preflop the odds are set by the cards alone — position, stack size and who bet first change nothing. The only thing that moves the number is suits: AJ's equity runs from 57.5% to 63.7% depending on suitedness and which suits the two hands share, which is why different sites quote slightly different figures. It does change once board cards are dealt (AJ leads on 72% of flops) and in multiway pots, where every extra caller takes equity from both hands.
Is AJ vs QT a good spot to get all-in?
For AJ, yes — a 61.3% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For QT at 38.7%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does AJ hold up against QT after the flop?
AJ is still ahead on 72% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 66% of boards; QT takes the lead on the other 28% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
Run any matchup in the free equity calculator · AK VS QJ · AK VS QT · AQ VS KJ · AQ VS KT · AQ VS JT · AJ VS KQ
AJ against a range
All-in against one known hand is the textbook case; at the table AJ is usually up against a range. Exact equities, computed over every combo with card removal applied:
- AJ vs calling station — 61.1% against 670 combos (50.5% of hands)
- AJ vs BTN open — 60.2% against 586 combos (44.2% of hands)
- AJ vs CO open — 56.6% against 366 combos (27.6% of hands)
- AJ vs 10bb shove — 56.3% against 334 combos (25.2% of hands)