AJ vs AT: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJ (Ace-Jack) | 68.2% | 7.9% | 72.1% |
| AT (Ace-Ten) | 24.0% | 7.9% | 27.9% |
Suited vs offsuit: AJ
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 69.1% | 7.6% | 72.9% |
| AJo | 67.8% | 7.9% | 71.8% |
How AJ vs AT unfolds by street
Ace-Jack (AJ) is still ahead on 84% of flops against AT, and the lead survives to the turn on 79%. AT takes the lead on the other 16% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AJ still ahead | AT flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 84% | 16% |
| Turn | 79% | 21% |
AJ vs AT is textbook domination: the hands share a card, so AT is fighting for barely three outs. AJ wins 68.2%, AT wins 24.0%, and 7.9% of boards chop. Live to only its odd card (plus a thin straight or flush), AT wins about 1 in 4; the 7.9% tie figure is the tell that these hands are tangled on the same rank.
At a final table the raw 72.1% / 27.9% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 27.9% underdog, AT pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.
The lesson of AJ vs AT is kicker discipline: AT is the hand that quietly costs people stacks because it's too strong to fold and too dominated to win. If you hold AJ, get value while you're ahead; if you hold the dominated side, this is the exact spot to find a preflop fold against a tight range.
AJ vs AT FAQ
Who wins AJ vs AT preflop?
AJ (Ace-Jack) is the favorite, winning 68.2% of all runouts, while AT (Ace-Ten) wins 24.0%. The remaining 7.9% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AJ's preflop equity is 72.1%.
How often does AT beat AJ?
AT wins 24.0% of the time all-in preflop against AJ — roughly 1 in 4 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.
Why is AT so bad against AJ?
Because they share a card, AT is drawing to roughly three outs and chops 7.9% of the time — it wins only about 1 in 4. That's the danger of a dominated hand: too strong to fold, too far behind to outdraw, which is how kicker problems quietly cost full stacks.
Does AJ hold up against AT after the flop?
AJ is still ahead on 84% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 79% of boards; AT takes the lead on the other 16% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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