AA vs QQ: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA (Pocket Aces) | 81.3% | 0.4% | 81.5% |
| QQ (Pocket Queens) | 18.2% | 0.4% | 18.5% |
How AA vs QQ unfolds by street
Pocket Aces (AA) is still ahead on 89% of flops against QQ, and the lead survives to the turn on 86%. QQ takes the lead on the other 11% of flops, almost always by flopping a set. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AA still ahead | QQ flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 89% | 11% |
| Turn | 86% | 14% |
Set one pocket pair against a bigger one and you get AA vs QQ: AA wins 81.3%, QQ wins 18.2%, and 0.4% of boards chop. AA is a 4.5-to-1 favorite. The lower pair, QQ, is drawing to the two cards left in the deck that make it a set; miss those and only a runner-runner straight or flush saves it, which is why it gets there just 1 time in 5. It's a benchmark spot every serious player should know cold.
Think in variance terms: 81.5% equity means AA loses this all-in nearly 19 times in 100, so even a "dominant" spot is a coin you'll see come up tails plenty. Getting it in as the 81.5% favorite is correct every time; the 18.5% that goes the other way is math, not a misplay.
As the bigger pair, AA, your whole job is to get the money in before a scare card — there's no fold here and slow-playing only lets QQ realize its set equity for free. As the smaller pair, the discipline is recognizing when stacks are deep enough that calling off 18.2% equity is a leak, even though folding pre feels impossible.
AA vs QQ FAQ
Who wins AA vs QQ preflop?
AA (Pocket Aces) is the favorite, winning 81.3% of all runouts, while QQ (Pocket Queens) wins 18.2%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AA's preflop equity is 81.5%.
How often does QQ beat AA?
QQ wins 18.2% of the time all-in preflop against AA — roughly 1 in 5 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.
Can you fold the smaller pair in AA vs QQ?
Almost never preflop all-in — but the 18.2% the smaller pair wins (about 1 in 5) means that when stacks are very deep and the action screams a bigger pair, laying it down is a real, if rare, fold. Set-mining the lower pair works only with the implied odds to win a full stack when you spike.
Does AA hold up against QQ after the flop?
AA is still ahead on 89% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 86% of boards; QQ takes the lead on the other 11% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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