AA vs 72o: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA (Pocket Aces) | 88.0% | 0.4% | 88.2% |
| 72o (Seven-Deuce Offsuit) | 11.6% | 0.4% | 11.8% |
How AA vs 72o unfolds by street
Pocket Aces (AA) is still ahead on 96% of flops against 72o, and the lead survives to the turn on 93%. 72o takes the lead on the other 4% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | AA still ahead | 72o flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 96% | 4% |
| Turn | 93% | 7% |
AA vs 72o is about as good as a non-cooler gets for the pair: both of 72o's cards are undercards, so no single card flips the lead. AA wins 88.0%, 72o wins 11.6%, and 0.4% of boards chop. The underdog has to pair twice, make a straight or flush, or otherwise back in — which is why pairs stack undercards so reliably at a 7.6-to-1 clip. You'll hear this matchup argued about constantly — the enumerator settles it for good.
At a final table the raw 88.2% / 11.8% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 11.8% underdog, 72o pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.
In practice, AA vs 72o rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: AA wants to realize its 88.0% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while 72o should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 9.
AA vs 72o FAQ
Who wins AA vs 72o preflop?
AA (Pocket Aces) is the favorite, winning 88.0% of all runouts, while 72o (Seven-Deuce Offsuit) wins 11.6%. The remaining 0.4% are split pots. Counting splits as half, AA's preflop equity is 88.2%.
How often does 72o beat AA?
72o wins 11.6% of the time all-in preflop against AA — roughly 1 in 9 — so it needs good pot odds or fold equity to get the money in profitably.
Is AA vs 72o a good spot to get all-in?
For AA, yes — a 88.2% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For 72o at 11.8%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does AA hold up against 72o after the flop?
AA is still ahead on 96% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 93% of boards; 72o takes the lead on the other 4% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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