44 vs AQ: Odds & Interactive Calculator
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 (Pocket Fours) | 52.8% | 0.5% | 53.0% |
| AQ (Ace-Queen) | 46.7% | 0.5% | 47.0% |
Suited vs offsuit: AQ
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 48.7% | 0.5% | 48.9% |
| AQo | 46.1% | 0.5% | 46.3% |
How 44 vs AQ unfolds by street
Pocket Fours (44) is still ahead on 65% of flops against AQ, and the lead survives to the turn on 60%. AQ takes the lead on the other 35% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | 44 still ahead | AQ flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 65% | 35% |
| Turn | 60% | 40% |
44 vs AQ is a race in the truest sense: made hand now (44) versus the bigger drawing hand (AQ). 44 wins 52.8%, AQ wins 46.7%, and 0.5% of boards chop. The pair is ahead on a blank board but every Ace or Queen flips it, and the occasional straight adds a sliver more — which is why it plays out a hair off 50/50.
At a final table the raw 53.0% / 47.0% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. As the 47.0% underdog, AQ pays an extra survival premium, so the chip-EV "close enough" call can be a clear ICM fold. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.
In practice, 44 vs AQ rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: 44 wants to realize its 52.8% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while AQ should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 2.
Where to take 44 vs AQ next
Getting it in near the money bubble or at a final table? Chip equity isn't prize equity — check the spot in the ICM calculator before you call off your stack.
Played a hand like this yourself? Import it into the poker hand analyzer for a street-by-street review of every decision, not just the all-in.
For the bigger picture, the poker tournament strategy guide covers when to shove and when to fold as stacks shrink, and what GTO poker is explains why strong players think in ranges rather than single hands.
New to the game? The poker hand rankings chart shows which hand wins at showdown, how to play poker: a beginner's guide walks through the rules and betting rounds, and the poker strategy guide shows where preflop equity fits into a winning game plan.
44 vs AQ FAQ
Who wins 44 vs AQ preflop?
44 (Pocket Fours) is the favorite, winning 52.8% of all runouts, while AQ (Ace-Queen) wins 46.7%. The remaining 0.5% are split pots. Counting splits as half, 44's preflop equity is 53.0%.
Does the 44 vs AQ probability change all-in preflop?
No. Once both hands are all-in preflop the odds are set by the cards alone — position, stack size and who bet first change nothing. The only thing that moves the number is suits: 44's equity runs from 50.9% to 54.1% depending on suitedness and which suits the two hands share, which is why different sites quote slightly different figures. It does change once board cards are dealt (44 leads on 65% of flops) and in multiway pots, where every extra caller takes equity from both hands.
Is 44 vs AQ a good spot to get all-in?
For 44, yes — a 53.0% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For AQ at 47.0%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does 44 hold up against AQ after the flop?
44 is still ahead on 65% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 60% of boards; AQ takes the lead on the other 35% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
Run any matchup in the free equity calculator · JJ VS KQ · TT VS AQ · TT VS AJ · TT VS KQ · TT VS KJ · TT VS QJ
See also: hand-vs-range preflop equity — your hand against a real opening, 3-bet, or shove range.