22 vs AQ: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 (Pocket Deuces) | 51.4% | 0.6% | 51.7% |
| AQ (Ace-Queen) | 48.0% | 0.6% | 48.3% |
Suited vs offsuit: AQ
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 49.9% | 0.6% | 50.2% |
| AQo | 47.4% | 0.6% | 47.7% |
How 22 vs AQ unfolds by street
Pocket Deuces (22) is still ahead on 64% of flops against AQ, and the lead survives to the turn on 60%. AQ takes the lead on the other 36% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | 22 still ahead | AQ flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 64% | 36% |
| Turn | 60% | 40% |
22 vs AQ is a race in the truest sense: made hand now (22) versus the bigger drawing hand (AQ). 22 wins 51.4%, AQ wins 48.0%, and 0.6% of boards chop. The pair is ahead on a blank board but every Ace or Queen flips it, and the occasional straight adds a sliver more — which is why it plays out a hair off 50/50.
At a final table the raw 51.7% / 48.3% split is only half the story — ICM bends it. In a near-flip like this, the player with more chips to lose should be far more reluctant to call off. The pure equity sets the floor; the payout ladder sets the real price.
Practically, treat 22 vs AQ as a flip: get the money in when you have fold equity or a tournament reason to gamble, and don't agonize over who's "ahead" — the edge is too small to fold a hand you've committed to. The mistake isn't taking this race, it's taking it for a deep stack with no dead money in the pot.
22 vs AQ FAQ
Who wins 22 vs AQ preflop?
It is close to a coin flip: 22 (Pocket Deuces) has the slight edge, winning 51.4% of all runouts to AQ's 48.0%. The remaining 0.6% are split pots. Counting splits as half, 22's preflop equity is 51.7%.
How often does AQ beat 22?
AQ wins 48.0% of the time all-in preflop against 22 — essentially a coin flip, so it is close to even money.
Should you call all-in with AQ against 22?
AQ vs 22 is close to a coin flip (48.0% vs 51.4%), so calling off is correct whenever the pot is laying you a price near even money or you have a tournament reason to gamble. Deep-stacked with no dead money, it's a thinner spot — the edge is too small to commit a big stack without fold equity.
Does 22 hold up against AQ after the flop?
22 is still ahead on 64% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 60% of boards; AQ takes the lead on the other 36% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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