22 vs AK: Preflop Equity & Odds
| Hand | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 (Pocket Deuces) | 51.7% | 0.6% | 52.0% |
| AK (Ace-King) | 47.7% | 0.6% | 48.0% |
Suited vs offsuit: AK
| Matchup | Win | Tie | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 49.6% | 0.6% | 49.9% |
| AKo | 47.0% | 0.6% | 47.4% |
How 22 vs AK unfolds by street
Pocket Deuces (22) is still ahead on 65% of flops against AK, and the lead survives to the turn on 60%. AK takes the lead on the other 35% of flops. These figures come from full board enumeration, not a simulation.
| Street | 22 still ahead | AK flipped the lead |
|---|---|---|
| Flop | 65% | 35% |
| Turn | 60% | 40% |
When a pair meets two bigger cards you get a flip, and 22 vs AK is exactly that: 22 wins 51.7%, AK wins 47.7%, and 0.6% of boards chop. The overcards lean on six live outs — either Ace or King pairs to take the lead — which is why the unpaired side converts about 47.7%, the math behind every "I have to gamble" all-in in a tournament.
Think in variance terms: 52.0% equity means 22 loses this all-in nearly 48 times in 100, so even a "dominant" spot is a coin you'll see come up tails plenty. Getting it in as the 52.0% favorite is correct every time; the 48.0% that goes the other way is math, not a misplay.
In practice, 22 vs AK rewards aggression from the favorite and caution from the dog: 22 wants to realize its 51.7% edge by getting value and denying free cards, while AK should lean on fold equity and position rather than hoping to win the pot at showdown about 1 time in 2.
22 vs AK FAQ
Who wins 22 vs AK preflop?
22 (Pocket Deuces) is the favorite, winning 51.7% of all runouts, while AK (Ace-King) wins 47.7%. The remaining 0.6% are split pots. Counting splits as half, 22's preflop equity is 52.0%.
How often does AK beat 22?
AK wins 47.7% of the time all-in preflop against 22 — essentially a coin flip, so it is close to even money.
Is 22 vs AK a good spot to get all-in?
For 22, yes — a 52.0% favorite should happily commit, especially with fold equity. For AK at 48.0%, it depends on the price: enough to continue with initiative, but thin enough that stacking off out of position is usually a leak.
Does 22 hold up against AK after the flop?
22 is still ahead on 65% of flops and stays ahead through the turn on 60% of boards; AK takes the lead on the other 35% of flops. These are exact figures from full board enumeration.
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